Chien-Pao ex
Paldean Fates · #242 · HR$9.50fair value $9.56
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Market readSimilar cards →
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+10%Sales−18%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$9.37▼ −$2.43 (−20.6%)past 90 days
$10.00$10.81$11.62$9.37
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $9.37 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −56% expected return.Raw $9.50 → PSA 10 $99.99 · 10.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$9.50———High
PSA10$99.9910.5×$96.00 · Sep 20High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.1% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$69.607.3×$72.00 · May 50Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$25.002.6×$48.00 · Oct 71Med
TAG10$91.509.6×$117.99 · Apr 130Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate28.8%
PSA graded838
PSA 10
24128.8%
PSA 9
47256.3%
PSA 8
9110.9%
PSA 7
182.1%
6 & below
161.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC244 graded · 33.6% top · 13 Pristine
BGS26 graded · 0% top
SGC14 graded · 42.9% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings108104 sellers · -4% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 18.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure11% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 3Oct 21
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
33/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Chien-Pao ex earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 1% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Paldean Fates. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-60%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.6
Scarcity
6.6
Stability
7.4
