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Chien-Pao ex — Paldea Evolved #236
Pull rate1 in 391 packs
Cost to pull~$6,283
Released2023-06

Chien-Pao ex

Paldea Evolved · #236 · UR
$2.71fair value $2.76
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−10%Sales+114%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.68▲ +$0.23 (+9.4%)past 90 days
$2.39$2.53$2.81$2.68
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.68 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −65% expected return.Raw $2.71 → PSA 10 $41.50 · 15.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.71———High
PSA10$41.5015.3×$30.00 · Jul 270Med
CGC10$14.995.5×$14.99 · Mar 310Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate52.9%
PSA graded467
PSA 10
24752.9%
PSA 9
17838.1%
PSA 8
347.3%
PSA 7
61.3%
6 & below
20.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC172 graded · 45.3% top · 13 Pristine
BGS12 graded · 0% top
SGC27 graded · 48.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings224217 sellers · +6% vs 7d
Sold / week9.3▲ 114.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 15Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Chien-Pao ex earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 2% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Paldea Evolved. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-72%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.4
Scarcity
3.8
Stability
9.1
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