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Charmander — Paldean Fates #109
Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Charmander

Paldean Fates · #109 · SHB
$35.26recent trading $37.91
▼ 7% below recentTrading below its recent sales.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−26%Sales+22%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$35.26▼ −$21.60 (−38.0%)past 90 days
$43$49$55$35.26
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $35.26 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +31% expected return.Raw $35.26 → PSA 10 $289.99 · 8.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$35.26———High
PSA10$289.998.2×$288.00 · Oct 2618High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$132.003.7×$132.00 · Dec 80Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$54.501.6×$90.00 · Oct 172High
SGC10$100.002.8×$100.00 · Apr 190Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate45.7%
PSA graded4,035
PSA 10
1,84445.7%
PSA 9
1,84445.7%
PSA 8
3027.5%
PSA 7
290.7%
6 & below
160.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC456 graded · 49.6% top · 28 Pristine
BGS72 graded · 0% top
SGC32 graded · 37.5% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+147%if it gems≈ $169.89 net per card
Raw cost$35.26
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate46%break-even 32%
Slab market$289.99
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1046%$285.15PSA 946%$38.26PSA 87%$31.027 or lower1%$31.02
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $150.46 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 46% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings150139 sellers · +4% vs 7d
Sold / week8.3▲ 22.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 4Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
49/100Fair hold

Charmander earns a 49/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). That puts it among the most valuable cards in Paldean Fates. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 32% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge+32%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.7
Scarcity
4.6
Stability
6.1
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