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Charmander

151 · #168 · IR

Charmander — 151 #168

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$93.11

PREMIUM +13%

Modeled fair value $82.55

Priced about right, leaning rich.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Demand Fading Demand is softening.

Sales −36% · Listings +3% · Price −12%

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is expensive against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks cheap against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 188 packs
Cost to pull~$4,982
Released2023-09
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

A+Core hold
30-Day Move
0%
Grading Edge
+28%
Time Window
30d

Charmander earns a 76/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 13% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in 151. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 28% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    7.8
  • Scarcity
    7.3
  • Stability
    7.1

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 48 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $650.00 · Sep 9, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$93.11
High13 sold · 30dlast $117 · Sep 8
PSA logo10$645.006.9×
High24 sold · 30dlast $650 · Sep 9
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $244.402.6×
High9 sold · 30dlast $206 · Sep 2
SGC logo10$99.751.1×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $40 · Apr 27
TAG logo10$575.006.2×
High7 sold · 30dlast $600 · Sep 9
ACE logo10$486.335.2×
Med4 sold · 30dlast $477 · Aug 25

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate23.3%
Graded38,371
  • PSA 108,93423.3%
  • PSA 919,97552.1%
  • PSA 87,37819.2%
  • PSA 71,5133.9%
  • 6 & below5711.5%
Other graders
CGC2,20932.1% top · 68 Pristine
BGS7920% top
SGC30126.9% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+267%if it gems
≈ $461.91 net / card
Raw cost
$93.11
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
23%
Slab market
$645.00

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 23% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
201
173 TCGplayer sellers · +12% vs 7d
Sold / wk
17
▼ 36.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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