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Charmander — 151 #168
Pull rate1 in 188 packs
Cost to pull~$5,016
Released2023-09

Charmander

151 · #168 · IR
$87.03fair value $64.61
▲ 35% overPriced above fair value.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−20%Sales+59%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$87.03▼ −$3.10 (−3.4%)past 90 days
$83.34$91.52$95.61$87.03
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $87.03 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +6% expected return.Raw $87.03 → PSA 10 $508.75 · 5.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$87.03———High
PSA10$508.755.8×$500.00 · Oct 2414High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.1% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$360.004.1×$360.00 · Oct 52Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$198.002.3×$356.00 · Oct 269High
SGC10$99.751.1×$39.99 · Apr 270Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate22.9%
PSA graded39,325
PSA 10
9,00122.9%
PSA 9
20,43752%
PSA 8
7,68119.5%
PSA 7
1,6074.1%
6 & below
5991.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,330 graded · 32.4% top · 74 Pristine
BGS826 graded · 0% top
SGC303 graded · 27.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings211176 sellers · -8% vs 7d
Sold / week11▲ 59.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 12Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
73/100Core hold

Charmander earns a 73/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 35% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in 151. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 10% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 4%
Grading edge+10%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.4
Scarcity
7.3
Stability
7.2
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