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Squirtle — 151 #170
Pull rate1 in 188 packs
Cost to pull~$5,016
Released2023-09

Squirtle

151 · #170 · IR
$84.79fair value $58.05
▲ 46% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−9%Sales−6%Listings+5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$84.79▼ −$13.46 (−13.7%)past 90 days
$90.35$95.21$100.06$84.79
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $84.79 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +10% expected return.Raw $84.79 → PSA 10 $456.00 · 5.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$84.79———High
PSA10$456.005.4×$456.00 · Oct 1911High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$525.006.2×$515.00 · Apr 120Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$175.002.1×$175.00 · Oct 235High
BGS10$90.001.1×$165.00 · Aug 180Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate25.5%
PSA graded36,008
PSA 10
9,19825.5%
PSA 9
19,97155.5%
PSA 8
5,79516.1%
PSA 7
7572.1%
6 & below
2870.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,264 graded · 36.6% top · 75 Pristine
BGS657 graded · 0% top
SGC263 graded · 28.9% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+173%if it gems≈ $284.44 net per card
Raw cost$84.79
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate26%break-even 21%
Slab market$456.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1026%$449.23PSA 956%$90.50PSA 816%$90.507 or lower3%$84.79
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $181.81 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 26% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings242222 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 5.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 10Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
71/100Core hold

Squirtle earns a 71/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 46% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in 151. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 9% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 1%
Grading edge+9%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.2
Scarcity
7.0
Stability
7.1
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