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Kirlia — Paldean Fates #154
Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Kirlia

Paldean Fates · #154 · SHB
$8.22recent trading $8.01
≈ in its recent rangeTrading in line with its recent sales.
Supply BuildingListings are piling up faster than they sell. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−0%Sales0%Listings+9%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$8.22▲ +$0.51 (+6.6%)past 90 days
$7.02$7.40$7.79$8.22
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $8.22 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −19% expected return.Raw $8.22 → PSA 10 $110.00 · 13.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$8.22———High
PSA10$110.0013.4×$110.00 · Oct 142High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 18% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$60.007.3×$60.00 · Feb 120Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$13.451.6×$12.50 · Mar 160Low
SGC10$15.001.8×$15.00 · Jun 150Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate63%
PSA graded208
PSA 10
13163%
PSA 9
6732.2%
PSA 8
104.8%
PSA 7
00%
6 & below
00%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC79 graded · 55.7% top · 17 Pristine
BGS3 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 25% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings125123 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week24• 0.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure19% · steady
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +9%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 2Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
28/100Avoid

Kirlia earns a 28/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's one of the pricier cards in Paldean Fates. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-18%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.6
Scarcity
2.6
Stability
8.9
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