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Tinkatuff — Paldean Fates #166
Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Tinkatuff

Paldean Fates · #166 · SHB
$8.28recent trading $6.76
▲ 22% above recentTrading well above its recent sales.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−5%Sales−27%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$8.28▲ +$1.75 (+26.8%)past 90 days
$6.27$6.89$7.52$8.28
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $8.28 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +20% expected return.Raw $8.28 → PSA 10 $160.00 · 19.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$8.28———High
PSA10$160.0019.3×$169.99 · Jul 300Med
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$24.002.9×$24.00 · Jul 200Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$16.802.0×$13.00 · Sep 251Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate63.6%
PSA graded107
PSA 10
6863.6%
PSA 9
3330.8%
PSA 8
65.6%
PSA 7
00%
6 & below
00%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC79 graded · 50.6% top · 5 Pristine
BGS5 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+78%if it gems≈ $69.05 net per card
Raw cost$8.28
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate64%break-even 51%
Slab market$160.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1064%$157.33PSA 931%$18.99PSA 86%$8.287 or lower0%$8.28
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $106.37 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 64% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings9490 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 27.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure11% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 2Oct 28
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Tinkatuff earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's one of the pricier cards in Paldean Fates. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 19% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge+19%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.8
Scarcity
2.5
Stability
8.3
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