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Riolu

Paldean Fates · #173 · SHB

Riolu — Paldean Fates #173

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$13.48

Recent trading $13.30

Trading in line with its recent sales.

Below recentRecentAbove recent

Supply Building Listings are piling up faster than they sell.

Listings +17% · Price −9%

Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Investment Score

FAvoid
30-Day Move
n/a
Grading Edge
+12%
Time Window
30d

Riolu earns a 37/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's one of the pricier cards in Paldean Fates. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 12% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    2.7
  • Scarcity
    4.5
  • Stability
    7.6

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 6 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $129.26 · Aug 27, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$13.48
High0 sold · 30dlast $25 · Aug 13
PSA logo10$207.5015.4×
High3 sold · 30dlast $129 · Aug 27
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $50.503.8×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $100 · Jul 14
ACE logo10$77.155.7×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $77 · Apr 25

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate47.2%
Graded379
  • PSA 1017947.2%
  • PSA 916042.2%
  • PSA 83810%
  • PSA 710.3%
  • 6 & below10.3%
Other graders
CGC10852.8% top · 11 Pristine
BGS60% top
SGC250% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+118%if it gems
≈ $110.39 net / card
Raw cost
$13.48
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
47%
Slab market
$207.50

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 47% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer · last 30 days
TCGplayer listings
92
84 TCGplayer sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / wk
14
Demand pressure15% · soft
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +17%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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