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Espathra — Paradox Rift #197
Pull rate1 in 442 packs
Cost to pull~$3,757
Released2023-11

Espathra

Paradox Rift · #197 · IR
$8.34fair value $8.54
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+12%Sales−18%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$8.34▼ −$0.29 (−3.4%)past 90 days
$8.90$9.40$9.91$8.34
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $8.34 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −30% expected return.Raw $8.34 → PSA 10 $114.62 · 13.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$8.34———High
PSA10$114.6213.7×$105.00 · Sep 262High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.3% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$80.009.6×$99.99 · Apr 90Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$30.003.6×$30.00 · Oct 122Med
SGC10$12.001.4×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate44.5%
PSA graded795
PSA 10
35444.5%
PSA 9
36245.5%
PSA 8
678.4%
PSA 7
91.1%
6 & below
30.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC188 graded · 50% top · 17 Pristine
BGS16 graded · 0% top
SGC12 graded · 41.7% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings115105 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week9.8▼ 18.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 26Oct 24
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
27/100Avoid

Espathra earns a 27/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 2% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Paradox Rift by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-37%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.2
Scarcity
4.8
Stability
7.8
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