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Mienshao — Paradox Rift #200
Pull rate1 in 442 packs
Cost to pull~$3,757
Released2023-11

Mienshao

Paradox Rift · #200 · IR
$8.63fair value $8.05
▲ 7% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+28%Sales−8%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$8.63▼ −$1.48 (−14.6%)past 90 days
$9.26$9.78$10.31$8.63
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $8.63 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −37% expected return.Raw $8.63 → PSA 10 $120.90 · 14.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$8.63———High
PSA10$120.9014.0×$130.00 · Oct 31High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.1% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$45.205.2×$46.00 · Jul 290Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$22.202.6×$29.99 · Aug 270Low
TAG10$82.509.6×$82.50 · Jun 180Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate36.4%
PSA graded824
PSA 10
30036.4%
PSA 9
44153.5%
PSA 8
708.5%
PSA 7
70.8%
6 & below
60.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC189 graded · 43.4% top · 6 Pristine
BGS21 graded · 0% top
SGC14 graded · 21.4% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings147142 sellers · +4% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 7.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 14Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
30/100Avoid

Mienshao earns a 30/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 7% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Paradox Rift by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-44%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.3
Scarcity
5.7
Stability
7.6
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