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Ferrothorn — Paradox Rift #209
Pull rate1 in 442 packs
Cost to pull~$3,757
Released2023-11

Ferrothorn

Paradox Rift · #209 · IR
$6.32fair value $4.45
▲ 42% overPriced above fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+11%Sales−33%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$6.32▲ +$0.26 (+4.3%)past 90 days
$5.67$5.93$6.19$6.45$6.32
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $6.32 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −53% expected return.Raw $6.32 → PSA 10 $71.11 · 11.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$6.32———High
PSA10$71.1111.3×$115.00 · Oct 241High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$32.005.1×$32.00 · Aug 280Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$29.994.8×$37.99 · Oct 161Low
ACE10$34.805.5×$42.78 · Oct 221Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate42.7%
PSA graded412
PSA 10
17642.7%
PSA 9
19246.6%
PSA 8
389.2%
PSA 7
30.7%
6 & below
30.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC142 graded · 45.1% top · 5 Pristine
BGS9 graded · 0% top
SGC11 graded · 36.4% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings138135 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 33.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 26Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
26/100Avoid

Ferrothorn earns a 26/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 42% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Paradox Rift by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-61%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
0.9
Scarcity
5.0
Stability
7.8
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