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Ferrothorn — White Flare #149
Pull rate1 in 848 packs
Cost to pull~$11,406
Released2025-07

Ferrothorn

White Flare · #149 · IR
$16.25fair value $12.94
▲ 26% overPriced above fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+32%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$16.38▼ −$3.12 (−16.0%)past 90 days
$17.49$18.39$19.30$16.38
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $16.38 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −35% expected return.Raw $16.25 → PSA 10 $217.11 · 13.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$16.25———High
PSA10$217.1113.4×$178.50 · Sep 150Med
CGC10$23.501.4×$18.00 · Oct 121Low
ACE10$74.384.6×$74.38 · Sep 130Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate23.2%
PSA graded254
PSA 10
5923.2%
PSA 9
15561%
PSA 8
3313%
PSA 7
62.4%
6 & below
10.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC43 graded · 37.2% top · 4 Pristine
BGS4 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings9290 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week6.8
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 18
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
34/100Avoid

Ferrothorn earns a 34/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 26% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in White Flare by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 11%
Grading edge-35%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.0
Scarcity
7.3
Stability
5.4
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