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Mega Lopunny ex — Phantasmal Flames #128
Pull rate1 in 400 packs
Cost to pull~$4,868
Released2025-11

Mega Lopunny ex

Phantasmal Flames · #128 · SIR
$12.16fair value $9.56
▲ 27% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−0%Sales−20%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$12.00▼ −$6.01 (−33.4%)past 90 days
$14.13$15.88$17.62$12.00
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $12.00 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −56% expected return.Raw $12.16 → PSA 10 $54.88 · 4.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$12.16———High
PSA10$54.884.5×$39.88 · Oct 2031High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 24% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$67.205.5×$74.99 · Oct 219High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$22.801.9×$18.00 · Oct 1912High
TAG10$69.505.7×$70.00 · Sep 110High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate64.7%
PSA graded8,730
PSA 10
5,64964.7%
PSA 9
2,65030.4%
PSA 8
3443.9%
PSA 7
420.5%
6 & below
450.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC513 graded · 64.9% top · 159 Pristine
BGS170 graded · 0% top
SGC6 graded · 66.7% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings405388 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week22▼ 20.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 23Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
39/100Watch

Mega Lopunny ex earns a 39/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 27% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Phantasmal Flames. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 8%
Grading edge-57%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.0
Scarcity
2.4
Stability
5.2
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