Mega Charizard X ex
Phantasmal Flames · #125 · SIR$587.29fair value $431.05
▲ 36% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−23%Sales−29%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$587.21▼ −$195.45 (−25.0%)past 90 days
$657$713$770$587.21
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $587.21 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +50% expected return.Raw $587.29 → PSA 10 $1,344.84 · 2.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$587.29———High
PSA10$1,344.842.3×$1,301.66 · Oct 27287High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 16% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$2,480.004.2×$1,675.00 · Oct 254High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$1,087.501.9×$785.00 · Oct 2636High
BGS10$3,084.505.3×$2,075.75 · Oct 2413High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate59.7%
PSA graded55,599
PSA 10
33,18459.7%
PSA 9
19,01734.2%
PSA 8
2,6054.7%
PSA 7
4260.8%
6 & below
3670.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC1,897 graded · 59.7% top · 366 Pristine
BGS4,266 graded · 0% top
SGC33 graded · 24.2% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+92%if it gems≈ $612.96 net per card
Raw cost$587.29
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate60%break-even 11%
Slab market$1,344.84
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 60% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1060%$1,280.25PSA 934%$599.99PSA 85%$519.447 or lower1%$519.44
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $1,001.20 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings9873 sellers · -13% vs 7d
Sold / week14▼ 29.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure14% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 12Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
74/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Charizard X ex earns a 74/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 36% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Phantasmal Flames. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 56% ROI. It trades actively.
30-day move▼ 13%
Grading edge+56%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
8.9
Scarcity
3.0
Stability
5.8
