Pull rate1 in 923 packs

Cost to pull~$28,299

Released2017-08

TCGplayer eBay

Charizard GX

Burning Shadows · #150 · GXR

Watch

$840.75fair value $558.50

▲ 51% overTrading well above fundamentals.

Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast

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Price history

Raw price

Raw

$840.75▲ +$233.47 (+38.4%)past 90 days

$622$690$758$840.75

Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28

Market price

Latest raw market price · $840.75 · Oct 28, 2026

Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grade ladder

What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.

Grading Signals →

GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +211% expected return.Raw $840.75 → PSA 10 $20,000.00 · 23.8×

GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence

—Raw$840.75———High

PSA10$20,000.0023.8×$20,000.00 · Oct 164High

CGC10$2,500.003.0×$1,651.00 · Sep 210Low

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.

Gem rate12.2%

PSA graded6,858

PSA 10

83412.2%

PSA 9

2,47736.1%

PSA 8

1,89427.6%

PSA 7

89213%

6 & below

76111.1%

Other graders · as of Oct 2026

CGC792 graded · 1.1% top

BGS591 graded · 0% top

SGC69 graded · 0% top

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

Grading Signals →

+2061%if it gems≈ $18,979.55 net per card

Raw cost$840.75

Grading fee$80.00

Gem rate12%break-even 2%

Slab market$20,000.00

If you grade it, it comes back…

GradeOddsSells forPSA 1012%$19,900.30PSA 936%$691.25PSA 828%$451.127 or lower24%$320.44

Averaged over those odds: ≈ $2,859.80 per slab, before selling fees.

Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 12% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.

Raw

Sold / week—

Supply shows both venues: eBay active listings + TCGplayer sellers (distinct units, not summed); the supply-trend gauge is eBay-driven for now, with the TCGplayer trend surfacing once its history is reliable, then blending. Sold/wk is TCGplayer; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ eBay active listings (soft → hot) — a relative read, not a literal sell-through. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.

Data snapshot, not a forecast

83/100Cornerstone

S+SABCDF

Charizard GX earns a 83/100 investment score and an S grade (cornerstone). It's trading 51% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Burning Shadows. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 243% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▲ 6%

Grading edge+243%

Time window30d

What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards

Demand

8.1

Scarcity

Stability

7.6