Dawn
Phantasmal Flames · #129 · SIR$17.13fair value $11.22
▲ 53% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−17%Sales+14%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$17.08▼ −$7.07 (−29.3%)past 90 days
$19.69$21.83$23.96$17.08
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $17.08 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −58% expected return.Raw $17.13 → PSA 10 $61.40 · 3.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$17.13———High
PSA10$61.403.6×$65.00 · Oct 2244High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 23% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$140.008.2×$125.00 · Oct 114High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$42.002.5×$25.95 · Oct 1912High
BGS10$175.0010.2×$120.00 · Apr 250Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate52.9%
PSA graded11,923
PSA 10
6,30252.9%
PSA 9
4,35636.5%
PSA 8
9848.3%
PSA 7
1811.5%
6 & below
1000.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC548 graded · 62.6% top · 161 Pristine
BGS322 graded · 0% top
SGC12 graded · 8.3% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings408384 sellers · -4% vs 7d
Sold / week23▲ 13.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 23Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
41/100Watch
S+SABCDF
Dawn earns a 41/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 53% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Phantasmal Flames. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 12%
Grading edge-58%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.1
Scarcity
3.8
Stability
5.0
