Lugia V
Silver Tempest · #186 · AAV$461.76fair value $484.05
▼ 5% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−12%Sales+350%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$461.76▼ −$61.54 (−11.8%)past 90 days
$488$510$532$461.76
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $461.76 · Oct 28, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +55% expected return.Raw $461.76 → PSA 10 $1,180.00 · 2.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$461.76———High
PSA10$1,180.002.6×$1,184.50 · Oct 23107High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,799.003.9×$1,350.00 · Oct 86High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$662.251.4×$600.00 · Oct 2716High
BGS10$2,160.004.7×$1,975.00 · Sep 292High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate54.7%
PSA graded47,173
PSA 10
25,79754.7%
PSA 9
16,91635.9%
PSA 8
3,2877%
PSA 7
4991.1%
6 & below
6741.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC3,113 graded · 43.6% top · 241 Pristine
BGS2,915 graded · 0% top
SGC428 graded · 32.9% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+115%if it gems≈ $624.55 net per card
Raw cost$461.76
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate55%break-even 13%
Slab market$1,180.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 55% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1055%$1,166.31PSA 936%$482.50PSA 87%$332.507 or lower2%$332.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $841.63 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings9974 sellers · -4% vs 7d
Sold / week5.8▲ 350.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Jul 31Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
75/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Lugia V earns a 75/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 5% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Silver Tempest. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 58% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 11%
Grading edge+58%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
8.5
Scarcity
3.6
Stability
8.2
