Larvesta
Surging Sparks · #196 · IR$2.30fair value $2.04
▲ 13% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+8%Sales−11%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$2.37▼ −$0.32 (−11.9%)past 90 days
$2.68$2.98$3.29$2.37
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.37 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −72% expected return.Raw $2.30 → PSA 10 $51.25 · 22.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.30———High
PSA10$51.2522.3×$40.00 · Sep 160High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$35.0015.2×$35.00 · Jul 160Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$18.137.9×$18.00 · Oct 121Med
TAG10$30.0013.0×$30.00 · Apr 230Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate24.6%
PSA graded1,333
PSA 10
32824.6%
PSA 9
79359.5%
PSA 8
18714%
PSA 7
181.4%
6 & below
70.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC435 graded · 49% top · 17 Pristine
BGS21 graded · 0% top
SGC5 graded · 20% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings425408 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week19▼ 10.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 26Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
35/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Larvesta earns a 35/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 13% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Surging Sparks. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.7
Scarcity
7.1
Stability
7.6
