Skip to main content
HyperPotion
Vibrava — Surging Sparks #206
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Vibrava

Surging Sparks · #206 · IR
$2.82fair value $2.77
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+7%Sales−39%Listings−0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trial

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.85▼ −$0.83 (−22.6%)past 90 days
$3.35$3.77$4.20$2.85
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.85 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −62% expected return.Raw $2.82 → PSA 10 $59.78 · 21.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.82———High
PSA10$59.7821.2×$46.80 · Oct 51High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$35.4012.6×$69.99 · Sep 31Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$16.005.7×$15.60 · Oct 123High
SGC10$8.302.9×$8.30 · Apr 120Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate32.6%
PSA graded1,315
PSA 10
42932.6%
PSA 9
71454.3%
PSA 8
15011.4%
PSA 7
120.9%
6 & below
100.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC524 graded · 45.6% top · 30 Pristine
BGS24 graded · 0% top
SGC10 graded · 30% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings421403 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week14▼ 38.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 26Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
31/100Avoid

Vibrava earns a 31/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 2% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Surging Sparks. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-74%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.4
Scarcity
6.2
Stability
7.3
HyperPotion Premium

See every card priced like this.

3-day free trial · Full boards · Overlays · Fair-Value Lab · Cancel anytime