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Cetitan — Surging Sparks #201
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Cetitan

Surging Sparks · #201 · IR
$2.51fair value $2.49
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+33%Sales−42%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.48▼ −$0.48 (−16.2%)past 90 days
$2.79$3.05$3.30$2.48
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.48 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −68% expected return.Raw $2.51 → PSA 10 $64.09 · 25.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.51———High
PSA10$64.0925.5×$73.67 · Oct 211High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$31.0012.3×$31.00 · May 290Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$19.207.7×$19.20 · Oct 51Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate25.9%
PSA graded1,029
PSA 10
26725.9%
PSA 9
60058.3%
PSA 8
13713.3%
PSA 7
171.7%
6 & below
80.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC382 graded · 46.9% top · 12 Pristine
BGS22 graded · 0% top
SGC7 graded · 14.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings451429 sellers · -0% vs 7d
Sold / week17▼ 42.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 21Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
34/100Avoid

Cetitan earns a 34/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 1% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Surging Sparks. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.6
Scarcity
6.9
Stability
8.0
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