Shiinotic
Surging Sparks · #194 · IR$3.19fair value $4.70
▼ 32% underPriced below fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+16%Sales−7%Listings+4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$3.20▼ −$0.44 (−12.1%)past 90 days
$3.81$4.32$4.82$3.20
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.20 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −54% expected return.Raw $3.19 → PSA 10 $95.99 · 30.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.19———High
PSA10$95.9930.1×$124.99 · Sep 150High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$63.0019.8×$63.00 · Feb 110Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$15.604.9×$23.00 · Oct 163Med
TAG10$75.0023.5×$60.00 · May 110Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate28%
PSA graded1,373
PSA 10
38428%
PSA 9
76155.4%
PSA 8
18313.3%
PSA 7
312.3%
6 & below
141%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC384 graded · 42.7% top · 21 Pristine
BGS30 graded · 0% top
SGC5 graded · 40% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings384375 sellers · -4% vs 7d
Sold / week15▼ 7.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 23Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
32/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Shiinotic earns a 32/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 32% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Surging Sparks by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-65%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.4
Scarcity
6.7
Stability
7.6
