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Braviary — Surging Sparks #214
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Braviary

Surging Sparks · #214 · IR
$4.02fair value $5.29
▼ 24% underPriced below fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+7%Sales+4%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.06▼ −$1.52 (−27.2%)past 90 days
$3.68$4.51$5.34$6.17$4.06
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.06 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −65% expected return.Raw $4.02 → PSA 10 $71.00 · 17.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.02———High
PSA10$71.0017.7×$64.80 · Oct 122High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$53.0013.2×$62.40 · Sep 140Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$20.805.2×$19.00 · Oct 145High
TAG10$64.9916.2×$61.00 · Aug 70Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate30.1%
PSA graded3,954
PSA 10
1,18930.1%
PSA 9
2,29658.1%
PSA 8
41810.6%
PSA 7
300.8%
6 & below
210.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC580 graded · 51% top · 37 Pristine
BGS67 graded · 0% top
SGC15 graded · 40% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings374359 sellers · -4% vs 7d
Sold / week15▲ 4.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 13Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
40/100Watch

Braviary earns a 40/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 24% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Surging Sparks by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-71%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.5
Scarcity
6.5
Stability
7.6
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