Vivillon
Surging Sparks · #193 · IR$4.69fair value $3.66
▲ 28% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+20%Sales−32%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$4.88▼ −$1.56 (−24.2%)past 90 days
$4.53$5.15$5.76$6.38$4.88
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.88 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −62% expected return.Raw $4.69 → PSA 10 $75.50 · 16.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.69———High
PSA10$75.5016.1×$79.99 · Oct 163High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$90.0019.2×$110.00 · May 130Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$20.004.3×$15.60 · Oct 122High
TAG10$90.9919.4×$90.99 · Apr 50Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate24.1%
PSA graded1,257
PSA 10
30324.1%
PSA 9
70656.2%
PSA 8
20516.3%
PSA 7
322.5%
6 & below
110.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC374 graded · 40.6% top · 13 Pristine
BGS23 graded · 0% top
SGC6 graded · 33.3% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings378364 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 32.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 22Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
35/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Vivillon earns a 35/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 28% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Surging Sparks by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-74%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.9
Scarcity
7.2
Stability
6.5
