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Ceruledge — Surging Sparks #197
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Ceruledge

Surging Sparks · #197 · IR
$20.61fair value $29.91
▼ 31% underPriced below fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+8%Sales−47%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$21.22▼ −$4.20 (−16.5%)past 90 days
$22.76$24.34$25.91$21.22
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $21.22 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −18% expected return.Raw $20.61 → PSA 10 $192.40 · 9.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$20.61———High
PSA10$192.409.3×$155.00 · Oct 2629High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$165.008.0×$200.00 · Oct 21High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$59.002.9×$65.00 · Oct 235High
TAG10$171.258.3×$176.98 · Oct 162High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate33%
PSA graded18,191
PSA 10
6,00333%
PSA 9
10,04955.2%
PSA 8
1,85710.2%
PSA 7
1610.9%
6 & below
1210.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC975 graded · 51.3% top · 89 Pristine
BGS316 graded · 0% top
SGC57 graded · 28.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings301288 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week9.8▼ 47.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 18Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
58/100Solid hold

Ceruledge earns a 58/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 31% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Surging Sparks. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 12%
Grading edge-23%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.4
Scarcity
6.1
Stability
7.6
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