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Mesprit — Surging Sparks #204
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Mesprit

Surging Sparks · #204 · IR
$12.88fair value $17.89
▼ 28% underPriced below fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+6%Sales−31%Listings+5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$12.50▼ −$2.19 (−14.9%)past 90 days
$11.91$13.04$14.18$15.31$12.50
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $12.50 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −41% expected return.Raw $12.88 → PSA 10 $135.00 · 10.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$12.88———High
PSA10$135.0010.5×$145.00 · Oct 2412High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.3% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$127.659.9×$193.92 · Oct 231Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$38.993.0×$50.00 · Oct 219High
TAG10$106.188.2×$107.96 · Oct 184Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate31.7%
PSA graded6,334
PSA 10
2,00631.7%
PSA 9
3,61157%
PSA 8
6079.6%
PSA 7
681.1%
6 & below
420.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC701 graded · 53.5% top · 47 Pristine
BGS100 graded · 0% top
SGC20 graded · 35% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings273259 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week13▼ 31.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 15Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
49/100Fair hold

Mesprit earns a 49/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 28% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Surging Sparks. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 8%
Grading edge-44%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.9
Scarcity
6.3
Stability
7.5
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