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Phanpy — Surging Sparks #205
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Phanpy

Surging Sparks · #205 · IR
$8.51fair value $8.26
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+11%Sales−17%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$7.79▼ −$1.61 (−17.1%)past 90 days
$8.49$9.17$9.86$7.79
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $7.79 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −50% expected return.Raw $8.51 → PSA 10 $88.00 · 10.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$8.51———High
PSA10$88.0010.3×$88.00 · Oct 203High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$74.998.8×$115.20 · Aug 240Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$24.002.8×$18.00 · Oct 196High
TAG10$89.4610.5×$97.50 · Jul 260Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate34.3%
PSA graded3,797
PSA 10
1,30434.3%
PSA 9
2,05954.2%
PSA 8
3779.9%
PSA 7
330.9%
6 & below
240.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC477 graded · 51.4% top · 37 Pristine
BGS61 graded · 0% top
SGC18 graded · 27.8% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings322314 sellers · +4% vs 7d
Sold / week13▼ 17.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 19Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
41/100Watch

Phanpy earns a 41/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 3% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Surging Sparks by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-60%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.9
Scarcity
6.0
Stability
7.4
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