Spheal
Surging Sparks · #199 · IR$9.96fair value $9.85
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Market readSimilar cards →
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+10%Sales−11%Listings−3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$9.94▼ −$0.76 (−7.1%)past 90 days
$9.07$9.69$10.32$10.94$9.94
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $9.94 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −48% expected return.Raw $9.96 → PSA 10 $108.50 · 10.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$9.96———High
PSA10$108.5010.9×$120.00 · Oct 195High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.6% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$81.608.2×$184.99 · Aug 300Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$25.502.6×$25.00 · Oct 246High
TAG10$95.009.5×$110.00 · Jun 220Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate31.3%
PSA graded4,824
PSA 10
1,51131.3%
PSA 9
2,62854.5%
PSA 8
58412.1%
PSA 7
621.3%
6 & below
390.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC535 graded · 45.6% top · 38 Pristine
BGS68 graded · 0% top
SGC14 graded · 21.4% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings336317 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week15▼ 10.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 19Oct 26
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
45/100Fair hold
S+SABCDF
Spheal earns a 45/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 1% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Surging Sparks. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-55%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.5
Scarcity
6.3
Stability
6.9
