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Latios — Surging Sparks #203
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Latios

Surging Sparks · #203 · IR
$30.17fair value $37.44
▼ 19% underPriced below fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+3%Sales−47%Listings+4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$29.70▼ −$4.79 (−13.9%)past 90 days
$31.32$33.58$35.83$29.70
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $29.70 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −23% expected return.Raw $30.17 → PSA 10 $220.00 · 7.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$30.17———High
PSA10$220.007.3×$190.00 · Oct 2745High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 4.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$251.008.3×$299.99 · Oct 181Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$80.002.6×$85.00 · Oct 267High
TAG10$184.856.1×$224.65 · Oct 265High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate27%
PSA graded27,892
PSA 10
7,54227%
PSA 9
16,14057.9%
PSA 8
3,63113%
PSA 7
3721.3%
6 & below
2070.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC1,743 graded · 48.6% top · 81 Pristine
BGS504 graded · 0% top
SGC84 graded · 21.4% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings285265 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 46.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 10Oct 25
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
64/100Solid hold

Latios earns a 64/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 19% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Surging Sparks. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 15%
Grading edge-26%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.0
Scarcity
6.8
Stability
7.9
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