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Chansey — Twilight Masquerade #187
Pull rate1 in 272 packs
Cost to pull~$2,576
Released2024-05

Chansey

Twilight Masquerade · #187 · IR
$42.80fair value $61.71
▼ 31% underPriced below fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−14%Sales−42%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$42.66▼ −$13.73 (−24.3%)past 90 days
$47.02$51.55$56.08$42.66
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $42.66 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +22% expected return.Raw $42.80 → PSA 10 $277.99 · 6.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$42.80———High
PSA10$277.996.5×$254.26 · Oct 2527High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.5% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$209.504.9×$180.00 · Oct 51Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$100.002.3×$76.00 · Oct 253High
TAG10$297.006.9×$177.50 · Oct 192High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate42.2%
PSA graded14,928
PSA 10
6,30442.2%
PSA 9
7,10547.6%
PSA 8
1,2498.4%
PSA 7
1891.3%
6 & below
810.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC911 graded · 51% top · 85 Pristine
BGS230 graded · 0% top
SGC50 graded · 36% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+122%if it gems≈ $149.93 net per card
Raw cost$42.80
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate42%break-even 29%
Slab market$277.99
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1042%$272.73PSA 948%$65.00PSA 88%$40.007 or lower2%$40.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $150.12 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 42% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings164151 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 41.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 2Oct 21
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
58/100Solid hold

Chansey earns a 58/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 31% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 16% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 21%
Grading edge+16%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.7
Scarcity
5.0
Stability
7.0
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