Raw market
Market
Hot$399.87
11.4 sales/wk 162 last 90d
Fair value
$369.03
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
★Lean+8%
OVERVALUED
PSA 10 slab?How Market is measured The Market value is a robust median of PSA 10 sold prices — a 7-day window when the card sells ≥5/week, widening to 30–60 days for thin volume, with an outlier filter. The chart plots the individual sales, so a recent spike can ride above this median. Reading raw vs. slab The two “vs Fair Value” figures measure against different benchmarks, so they can point different directions without disagreeing. Raw is judged against the graded market — undervalued means the raw card is cheap relative to its PSA 10. Slab is judged against fundamentals — overvalued means the PSA 10 itself looks rich versus print scarcity, grading rates, and demand. Both can be true at once. 9,566 PSA 10 pop · 45% gem
Market
$986.83
Median PSA-10 sale · 348 sales
Fair value
$900.62
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
★Lean+10%
OVERVALUED
Price history · 30d
Raw market fair $369.03
PSA 10 slab PSA-10 sales · fair $900.62
Supply & Demand
Active listings · supply
81
Sold / wk · demand
14
▼ 10.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure18% · steady
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +16%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Active listings + the supply-trend gauge are eBay; sold/wk is TCGplayer. Demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ eBay active listings (soft → hot) — a relative read, not a literal sell-through, since the two venues differ (but track closely). Descriptive market context, not a forecast.
Grading opportunity
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab — expected margin after fees, gem rate, and turnaround.
+36%
≈ $171.94 expected net / card
Raw cost
$399.87
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
45%
Slab market
$986.83
Expected value per submission — the PSA-10 weighted by the 45% gem rate, ~raw recovered on the misses, after fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut.
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