Greninja ex
Twilight Masquerade · #214 · SIR$251.67fair value $224.49
▲ 12% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−15%Sales+80%Listings−6%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$251.67▼ −$128.16 (−33.7%)past 90 days
$299$337$375$251.67
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $251.67 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +26% expected return.Raw $251.67 → PSA 10 $651.75 · 2.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$251.67———High
PSA10$651.752.6×$564.00 · Oct 2653High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$840.383.3×$699.99 · Oct 131High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$401.001.6×$353.00 · Oct 266High
BGS10$1,815.007.2×$2,500.00 · Apr 70Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate43.3%
PSA graded23,243
PSA 10
10,06143.3%
PSA 9
10,60345.6%
PSA 8
2,0498.8%
PSA 7
3221.4%
6 & below
2080.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC1,042 graded · 51.9% top · 83 Pristine
BGS704 graded · 0% top
SGC96 graded · 41.7% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+93%if it gems≈ $307.75 net per card
Raw cost$251.67
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate43%break-even 21%
Slab market$651.75
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 43% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1043%$639.42PSA 946%$253.00PSA 89%$227.387 or lower2%$227.38
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $417.48 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings11296 sellers · -11% vs 7d
Sold / week5.8▲ 80.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -6%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Jul 31Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
70/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Greninja ex earns a 70/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 12% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 28% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 25%
Grading edge+28%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.2
Scarcity
4.9
Stability
8.6
