Pikachu ex
Ascended Heroes · #277 · SIR$285.09fair value $206.69
▲ 38% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−37%Sales−60%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$285.09▼ −$103.61 (−26.7%)past 90 days
$322$353$384$285.09
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $285.09 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +14% expected return.Raw $285.09 → PSA 10 $606.39 · 2.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$285.09———High
PSA10$606.392.1×$553.50 · Oct 26102High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 24% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$888.733.1×$516.00 · Oct 265High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$332.351.2×$349.95 · Oct 1711High
BGS10$1,356.114.8×$1,250.00 · Oct 164High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate55.4%
PSA graded8,739
PSA 10
4,84055.4%
PSA 9
3,47039.7%
PSA 8
3664.2%
PSA 7
280.3%
6 & below
350.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC292 graded · 63% top · 91 Pristine
BGS619 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+56%if it gems≈ $203.67 net per card
Raw cost$285.09
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate55%break-even 40%
Slab market$606.39
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 55% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1055%$568.76PSA 940%$231.66PSA 84%$221.757 or lower1%$221.75
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $417.92 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings11198 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 60.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 3Oct 21
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
58/100Solid hold
S+SABCDF
Pikachu ex earns a 58/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 38% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 27% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 7%
Grading edge+27%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.4
Scarcity
3.8
Stability
5.4
