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Zekrom ex — Black Bolt #172
Pull rate1 in 800 packs
Cost to pull~$11,280
Released2025-07

Zekrom ex

Black Bolt · #172 · BWR
$595.79fair value $648.60
▼ 8% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−21%Sales0%Listings+4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$595.79▲ +$0.59 (+0.1%)past 90 days
$606$615$624$595.79
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $595.79 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +17% expected return.Raw $595.79 → PSA 10 $1,125.38 · 1.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$595.79———High
PSA10$1,125.381.9×$1,098.33 · Oct 2670High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 11% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,650.002.8×$1,650.00 · Oct 23Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$579.991.0×$495.00 · Oct 239High
TAG10$1,284.502.2×$1,599.00 · Sep 160High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate50.7%
PSA graded12,540
PSA 10
6,35750.7%
PSA 9
5,42043.2%
PSA 8
6194.9%
PSA 7
750.6%
6 & below
690.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC404 graded · 52.5% top · 52 Pristine
BGS618 graded · 0% top
SGC5 graded · 40% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+61%if it gems≈ $409.23 net per card
Raw cost$595.79
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate51%break-even 31%
Slab market$1,125.38
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1051%$1,085.02PSA 943%$493.50PSA 85%$446.007 or lower1%$446.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $790.52 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 51% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings4734 sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / week4.3• 0.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 4Oct 21
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
67/100Core hold

Zekrom ex earns a 67/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 8% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Black Bolt. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 28% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 3%
Grading edge+28%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.3
Scarcity
5.0
Stability
6.1
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