Paradox Rift Index
A chain-linked barometer of the Paradox Rift chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive: is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?
The Paradox Rift Raw Index · base 1,000
1,204.81▲ +20.5% S&P 500 +28.4% · index trails by 7.9 pts
Index level, not a dollar price · 84 chase cards · history since 2025-01-27
Market vs fair value
▲ +9.3%rich vs modeled fair
The basket is trading above fair value. Descriptive of where the market sits today, not a forecast.
Basket
- Basket market value
- $1,058
- Cards in the index
- 84
- Typical card
- $7.46
- Breadth · up in 7d
- 51%
Paradox Rift in dollars
Singles baskets and sealed product, priced, not indexed.
What's in the index
Showing 24 of 84 · sorted by price#CardMARKETVS FAIR
1GroudonParadox Rift · #199
$92.65
-1%
2MorpekoParadox Rift · #206
$60.62
+86%
3MinunParadox Rift · #194
$44.63
+41%
4PlusleParadox Rift · #193
$43.95
+44%
5Altaria exParadox Rift · #253
$43.30
-28%
6SteelixParadox Rift · #208
$33.62
+27%
7Gholdengo exParadox Rift · #252
$30.22
-23%
8Garchomp exParadox Rift · #245
$30.08
-30%
9MantykeParadox Rift · #189
$29.60
+64%
10AipomParadox Rift · #211
$29.50
+56%
11Roaring Moon exParadox Rift · #251
$29.21
-24%
12MiniorParadox Rift · #201
$27.76
+20%
13YveltalParadox Rift · #205
$27.38
+2%
14Golisopod exParadox Rift · #246
$24.65
-16%
15JoltikParadox Rift · #196
$23.29
+66%
16MagbyParadox Rift · #186
$20.98
+28%
17Maushold exParadox Rift · #233
$20.23
+35%
18Iron Valiant exParadox Rift · #249
$19.95
-18%
19GarbodorParadox Rift · #204
$18.60
+26%
20Tapu Koko exParadox Rift · #247
$17.96
-29%
21SwabluParadox Rift · #213
$17.64
0%
22Brute BonnetParadox Rift · #207
$15.59
+9%
23LoudredParadox Rift · #212
$15.23
+13%
24Porygon-ZParadox Rift · #214
$14.98
-27%
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How this works
01 · What is in itThe chase cards of Paradox Rift that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all. Below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
02 · How it is calculatedEqual-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
03 · Market vs fairThe gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value: positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.