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HyperPotion

Paldean Fates Index

A chain-linked barometer of the Paldean Fates chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive: is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?

The Paldean Fates Raw Index · base 1,000

1,659.87▲ +66% S&P 500 +28.6% · index leads by 37.4 pts

Index level, not a dollar price · 154 chase cards · history since 2025-01-27

Market vs fair value

▼ −7.5%cheap vs modeled fair

The basket is trading below fair value. Descriptive of where the market sits today, not a forecast.

Basket

Basket market value
$2,444
Cards in the index
154
Typical card
$4.68
Breadth · up in 7d
51%

Paldean Fates in dollars

Singles baskets and sealed product, priced, not indexed.

What's in the index

Showing 24 of 154 · sorted by price

Other set indexes

30th CelebrationAscended HeroesChaos RisingMega EvolutionPerfect OrderPhantasmal FlamesPitch Black151Black BoltDestined RivalsJourney TogetherObsidian FlamesPaldea EvolvedParadox RiftPrismatic EvolutionsScarlet & VioletShrouded FableStellar CrownSurging SparksTemporal ForcesTwilight MasqueradeWhite FlareAstral RadianceBattle StylesBrilliant StarsCelebrations (25th)Champion's PathChilling ReignCrown ZenithDarkness AblazeEvolving SkiesFusion StrikeLost OriginPokemon GORebel ClashShining FatesSilver TempestSword & ShieldVivid VoltageBurning ShadowsCelestial StormCosmic EclipseCrimson InvasionDragon MajestyForbidden LightGuardians RisingHidden FatesLost ThunderShining LegendsSun & MoonTeam UpUltra PrismUnbroken BondsUnified Minds

How this works

01 · What is in itThe chase cards of Paldean Fates that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all. Below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
02 · How it is calculatedEqual-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
03 · Market vs fairThe gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value: positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.
154 cards in the basket · History since 2025-01-27 · S&P 500 overlay rebased to the window start