Paldean Fates Index
A chain-linked barometer of the Paldean Fates chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive — is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?
The Paldean Fates Raw Index · base 1,000
Index level, not a dollar price · 154 chase cards · history since 2025-01-27
Market vs fair value
The basket is trading below fair value. Descriptive of where the market sits today — not a forecast.
Basket
- Basket market value
- $2,579
- Cards in the index
- 154
- Typical card
- $4.75
- Breadth · up in 7d
- 55%
Paldean Fates in dollars
Singles baskets and sealed product, priced — not indexed.
What's in the index
Showing 24 of 154 · sorted by price
How this works
The chase cards of Paldean Fates that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all — below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
Equal-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
The gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value — positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.
154 CARDS IN THE BASKET · HISTORY SINCE 2025-01-27 · S&P 500 OVERLAY REBASED TO THE WINDOW START