Paldea Evolved Index
A chain-linked barometer of the Paldea Evolved chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive: is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?
The Paldea Evolved Raw Index · base 1,000
1,586.48▲ +58.6% S&P 500 +28.4% · index leads by 30.2 pts
Index level, not a dollar price · 86 chase cards · history since 2025-01-27
Market vs fair value
▲ +12.8%rich vs modeled fair
The basket is trading above fair value. Descriptive of where the market sits today, not a forecast.
Basket
- Basket market value
- $1,682
- Cards in the index
- 86
- Typical card
- $10.96
- Breadth · up in 7d
- 43%
Paldea Evolved in dollars
Singles baskets and sealed product, priced, not indexed.
What's in the index
Showing 24 of 86 · sorted by price#CardMARKETVS FAIR
1MagikarpPaldea Evolved · #203
$303.02
-14%
2RaichuPaldea Evolved · #211
$93.03
+6%
3MausholdPaldea Evolved · #226
$82.25
-3%
4TyranitarPaldea Evolved · #222
$66.59
-9%
5SprigatitoPaldea Evolved · #196
$53.34
+55%
6Tinkaton exPaldea Evolved · #262
$50.10
+36%
7IonoPaldea Evolved · #269
$47.14
+5%
8MarillPaldea Evolved · #204
$45.41
+4%
9Chi-Yu exPaldea Evolved · #259
$44.28
-17%
10FuecocoPaldea Evolved · #201
$40.76
+7%
11MismagiusPaldea Evolved · #212
$34.59
+58%
12Skeledirge exPaldea Evolved · #258
$33.33
+30%
13TinkatuffPaldea Evolved · #217
$31.10
+75%
14SudowoodoPaldea Evolved · #219
$30.75
+5%
15HeracrossPaldea Evolved · #194
$30.55
+4%
16BaxcaliburPaldea Evolved · #210
$30.23
+3%
17TinkatinkPaldea Evolved · #216
$29.19
+57%
18Meowscarada exPaldea Evolved · #256
$27.26
+23%
19Chien-Pao exPaldea Evolved · #261
$25.44
+18%
20EiscuePaldea Evolved · #205
$23.50
+36%
21FrigibaxPaldea Evolved · #208
$20.38
-9%
22GrushaPaldea Evolved · #268
$20.21
-4%
23FloragatoPaldea Evolved · #197
$19.22
+29%
24FletchinderPaldea Evolved · #199
$18.17
+31%
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How this works
01 · What is in itThe chase cards of Paldea Evolved that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all. Below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
02 · How it is calculatedEqual-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
03 · Market vs fairThe gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value: positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.