Burning Shadows Index
A chain-linked barometer of the Burning Shadows chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive: is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?
The Burning Shadows Raw Index · base 1,000
1,847.18▲ +84.7% S&P 500 +28.6% · index leads by 56.1 pts
Index level, not a dollar price · 53 chase cards · history since 2025-01-27
Market vs fair value
▲ +17.5%rich vs modeled fair
The basket is trading above fair value. Descriptive of where the market sits today, not a forecast.
Basket
- Basket market value
- $1,813
- Cards in the index
- 53
- Typical card
- $10.97
- Breadth · up in 7d
- 53%
Burning Shadows in dollars
Singles baskets and sealed product, priced, not indexed.
What's in the index
Showing 24 of 53 · sorted by price#CardMARKETVS FAIR
1Charizard GXBurning Shadows · #150
$840.75
+51%
2Fairy EnergyBurning Shadows · #169
$100.13
+734%
3WickeBurning Shadows · #147
$63.81
+172%
4Darkrai GXBurning Shadows · #158
$57.44
+45%
5Darkness EnergyBurning Shadows · #168
$56.17
+396%
6Gardevoir GXBurning Shadows · #159
$53.97
+28%
7AcerolaBurning Shadows · #142
$51.76
+129%
8Machamp GXBurning Shadows · #154
$38.79
+15%
9Darkrai GXBurning Shadows · #139
$36.38
+112%
10Noivern GXBurning Shadows · #160
$30.83
+27%
11Marshadow GXBurning Shadows · #156
$30.49
-13%
12Fire EnergyBurning Shadows · #167
$29.57
+136%
13Charizard GXBurning Shadows · #20
$26.68
+28%
14GuzmaBurning Shadows · #143
$26.26
+47%
15Lycanroc GXBurning Shadows · #155
$24.43
+12%
16Necrozma GXBurning Shadows · #153
$24.16
+5%
17Golisopod GXBurning Shadows · #148
$21.95
+13%
18Ho-Oh GXBurning Shadows · #131
$21.84
+49%
19Gardevoir GXBurning Shadows · #140
$19.22
+28%
20Alolan Muk GXBurning Shadows · #157
$17.73
-10%
21Escape RopeBurning Shadows · #163
$17.40
+98%
22PlumeriaBurning Shadows · #145
$16.02
-2%
23Salazzle GXBurning Shadows · #151
$14.58
-25%
24Tapu Fini GXBurning Shadows · #152
$14.21
-26%
Other set indexes
30th CelebrationAscended HeroesChaos RisingMega EvolutionPerfect OrderPhantasmal FlamesPitch Black151Black BoltDestined RivalsJourney TogetherObsidian FlamesPaldea EvolvedPaldean FatesParadox RiftPrismatic EvolutionsScarlet & VioletShrouded FableStellar CrownSurging SparksTemporal ForcesTwilight MasqueradeWhite FlareAstral RadianceBattle StylesBrilliant StarsCelebrations (25th)Champion's PathChilling ReignCrown ZenithDarkness AblazeEvolving SkiesFusion StrikeLost OriginPokemon GORebel ClashShining FatesSilver TempestSword & ShieldVivid VoltageCelestial StormCosmic EclipseCrimson InvasionDragon MajestyForbidden LightGuardians RisingHidden FatesLost ThunderShining LegendsSun & MoonTeam UpUltra PrismUnbroken BondsUnified Minds
How this works
01 · What is in itThe chase cards of Burning Shadows that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all. Below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
02 · How it is calculatedEqual-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
03 · Market vs fairThe gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value: positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.