Twilight Masquerade Index
A chain-linked barometer of the Twilight Masquerade chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive: is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?
The Twilight Masquerade Raw Index · base 1,000
1,426.11▲ +42.6% S&P 500 +28.4% · index leads by 14.2 pts
Index level, not a dollar price · 59 chase cards · history since 2025-01-27
Market vs fair value
▲ +14.4%rich vs modeled fair
The basket is trading above fair value. Descriptive of where the market sits today, not a forecast.
Basket
- Basket market value
- $1,042
- Cards in the index
- 59
- Typical card
- $6.25
- Breadth · up in 7d
- 51%
Twilight Masquerade in dollars
Singles baskets and sealed product, priced, not indexed.
What's in the index
Showing 24 of 59 · sorted by price#CardMARKETVS FAIR
1Greninja exTwilight Masquerade · #214
$251.67
+12%
2PerrinTwilight Masquerade · #220
$144.89
+63%
3EeveeTwilight Masquerade · #188
$68.92
-2%
4Bloodmoon Ursaluna exTwilight Masquerade · #216
$43.22
+25%
5ChanseyTwilight Masquerade · #187
$42.80
-31%
6CarmineTwilight Masquerade · #217
$42.30
+4%
7Sinistcha exTwilight Masquerade · #210
$34.19
+35%
8Lana's AidTwilight Masquerade · #219
$29.08
+38%
9KieranTwilight Masquerade · #218
$26.74
+57%
10Hisuian GrowlitheTwilight Masquerade · #181
$25.17
-26%
11TatsugiriTwilight Masquerade · #186
$21.09
-16%
12Teal Mask Ogerpon exTwilight Masquerade · #211
$20.03
+44%
13ApplinTwilight Masquerade · #185
$15.17
+62%
14Wellspring Mask Ogerpon exTwilight Masquerade · #213
$15.04
-14%
15Greninja exTwilight Masquerade · #198
$14.23
+16%
16InfernapeTwilight Masquerade · #173
$13.58
-28%
17PinsirTwilight Masquerade · #168
$13.23
-26%
18DipplinTwilight Masquerade · #170
$12.51
+69%
19PhioneTwilight Masquerade · #175
$12.07
+32%
20Buddy-Buddy PoffinTwilight Masquerade · #223
$11.64
+115%
21Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon exTwilight Masquerade · #215
$11.21
-22%
22Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon exTwilight Masquerade · #212
$10.50
-14%
23Teal Mask Ogerpon exTwilight Masquerade · #221
$9.48
+6%
24Dragapult exTwilight Masquerade · #200
$8.95
+175%
Other set indexes
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How this works
01 · What is in itThe chase cards of Twilight Masquerade that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all. Below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
02 · How it is calculatedEqual-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
03 · Market vs fairThe gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value: positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.