Black Bolt Index
A chain-linked barometer of the Black Bolt chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive — is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?
The Black Bolt Raw Index · base 1,000
Index level, not a dollar price · 86 chase cards · history since 2025-07-14
Market vs fair value
The basket is trading about where the model says it should. Descriptive of where the market sits today — not a forecast.
Basket
- Basket market value
- $3,480
- Cards in the index
- 86
- Typical card
- $17.18
- Breadth · up in 7d
- 24%
Black Bolt in dollars
Singles baskets and sealed product, priced — not indexed.
What's in the index
Showing 24 of 86 · sorted by price
How this works
The chase cards of Black Bolt that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all — below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
Equal-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
The gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value — positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.
86 CARDS IN THE BASKET · HISTORY SINCE 2025-07-14 · S&P 500 OVERLAY REBASED TO THE WINDOW START