Chaos Rising Index
A chain-linked barometer of the Chaos Rising chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive: is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?
The Chaos Rising Raw Index · base 1,000
226.45▼ -77.4% S&P 500 +4.3% · index trails by 81.7 pts
Index level, not a dollar price · 36 chase cards · history since 2026-05-16
Market vs fair value
▲ +22.2%rich vs modeled fair
The basket is trading above fair value. Descriptive of where the market sits today, not a forecast.
Basket
- Basket market value
- $410
- Cards in the index
- 36
- Typical card
- $2.43
- Breadth · up in 7d
- 28%
Chaos Rising in dollars
Singles baskets and sealed product, priced, not indexed.
What's in the index
Showing 24 of 36 · sorted by price#CardMARKETVS FAIR
1Mega Greninja exChaos Rising · #122
$113.46
+43%
2Mega Greninja exChaos Rising · #116
$110.94
+66%
3Cinccino exChaos Rising · #119
$35.62
+116%
4Mega Dragalge exChaos Rising · #118
$22.95
+97%
5AZ's TranquilityChaos Rising · #120
$20.82
+220%
6Mega Floette exChaos Rising · #117
$20.79
+124%
7Roxie's PerformanceChaos Rising · #121
$14.74
+91%
8Mega Greninja exChaos Rising · #100
$7.86
+67%
9FroakieChaos Rising · #088
$5.57
+6%
10XerneasChaos Rising · #091
$5.19
+8%
11AmpharosChaos Rising · #090
$4.12
-6%
12FrogadierChaos Rising · #089
$4.10
-10%
13Cinccino exChaos Rising · #105
$3.28
+7%
14ChespinChaos Rising · #087
$2.94
-9%
15Jumbo Ice CreamChaos Rising · #109
$2.73
+12%
16Special Red CardChaos Rising · #113
$2.68
+139%
17Mega Floette exChaos Rising · #101
$2.47
+72%
18Surfing BeachChaos Rising · #114
$2.43
-30%
19TaurosChaos Rising · #096
$2.14
-26%
20Beedrill exChaos Rising · #098
$1.99
-20%
21Mega Pyroar exChaos Rising · #099
$1.98
-6%
22Mega Dragalge exChaos Rising · #104
$1.95
+18%
23Prism TowerChaos Rising · #111
$1.87
+68%
24Energy RetrievalChaos Rising · #108
$1.84
+65%
Other set indexes
30th CelebrationAscended HeroesMega EvolutionPerfect OrderPhantasmal FlamesPitch Black151Black BoltDestined RivalsJourney TogetherObsidian FlamesPaldea EvolvedPaldean FatesParadox RiftPrismatic EvolutionsScarlet & VioletShrouded FableStellar CrownSurging SparksTemporal ForcesTwilight MasqueradeWhite FlareAstral RadianceBattle StylesBrilliant StarsCelebrations (25th)Champion's PathChilling ReignCrown ZenithDarkness AblazeEvolving SkiesFusion StrikeLost OriginPokemon GORebel ClashShining FatesSilver TempestSword & ShieldVivid VoltageBurning ShadowsCelestial StormCosmic EclipseCrimson InvasionDragon MajestyForbidden LightGuardians RisingHidden FatesLost ThunderShining LegendsSun & MoonTeam UpUltra PrismUnbroken BondsUnified Minds
How this works
01 · What is in itThe chase cards of Chaos Rising that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all. Below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
02 · How it is calculatedEqual-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
03 · Market vs fairThe gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value: positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.