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HyperPotion

Sword & Shield Index

A chain-linked barometer of the Sword & Shield chase cards with a fair-value overlay and an S&P 500 comparison. Descriptive: is this set rich or cheap versus what its cards are worth?

The Sword & Shield Raw Index · base 1,000

1,773.51▲ +77.4% S&P 500 +28.6% · index leads by 48.8 pts

Index level, not a dollar price · 51 chase cards · history since 2025-01-27

Market vs fair value

▲ +32.8%rich vs modeled fair

The basket is trading above fair value. Descriptive of where the market sits today, not a forecast.

Basket

Basket market value
$484
Cards in the index
51
Typical card
$4.27
Breadth · up in 7d
31%

Sword & Shield in dollars

Singles baskets and sealed product, priced, not indexed.

What's in the index

Showing 24 of 51 · sorted by price

Other set indexes

30th CelebrationAscended HeroesChaos RisingMega EvolutionPerfect OrderPhantasmal FlamesPitch Black151Black BoltDestined RivalsJourney TogetherObsidian FlamesPaldea EvolvedPaldean FatesParadox RiftPrismatic EvolutionsScarlet & VioletShrouded FableStellar CrownSurging SparksTemporal ForcesTwilight MasqueradeWhite FlareAstral RadianceBattle StylesBrilliant StarsCelebrations (25th)Champion's PathChilling ReignCrown ZenithDarkness AblazeEvolving SkiesFusion StrikeLost OriginPokemon GORebel ClashShining FatesSilver TempestVivid VoltageBurning ShadowsCelestial StormCosmic EclipseCrimson InvasionDragon MajestyForbidden LightGuardians RisingHidden FatesLost ThunderShining LegendsSun & MoonTeam UpUltra PrismUnbroken BondsUnified Minds

How this works

01 · What is in itThe chase cards of Sword & Shield that the model prices. A set needs at least five tracked chase cards before it gets an index at all. Below that the level is one or two cards wearing a set's name.
02 · How it is calculatedEqual-weighted and chain-linked from a base of 1,000: each day the level moves by the trimmed-mean daily return of its cards, dropping the top and bottom 2.5% and rejecting any single-day jump over 50%. Curated cuts pick their constituents by recent median price, so one thin sale cannot crown the wrong card.
03 · Market vs fairThe gauge is the basket’s average gap to modeled fair value: positive means the market trades rich, negative means cheap. It describes the present; it does not predict.
51 cards in the basket · History since 2025-01-27 · S&P 500 overlay rebased to the window start